Latest Prices Summary for Uganda
As of 2026-05-04, the average wholesale market price for dry maize in UGA stands at 160,523 UGX per 90kg, slightly higher than the seven-day average of 162,360 UGX. Considering the last years' wholesale prices for dry maize, prices had a seasonal high of 161,528 UGX per 90kg and a seasonal low of 139,329 UGX per 90kg. Arbitrage profitability is currently below average. In various regions, prices vary, with MASAKA and KABAROLE reporting the highest prices at 171,177 UGX and 170,818 UGX, respectively, while ARUA and ADJUMANI report lower prices at 140,849 UGX and 137,357 UGX, respectively. Overall, market prices show regional disparities but remain relatively stable.
Latest Prices Overview
| Country Average (As at 2026-05-04) |
160,523 UGX |
|---|---|
| Seven Day Average | 162,360 UGX |
| 12 Month Seasonal High | 161,528 UGX |
| 12 Month Seasonal Low | 139,329 UGX |
| Arbitrage Profitability |
Current arbitrage conditions are BELOW average (41/100)
|
Price Map
Regional Prices
| Abim | 165,970 UGX |
|---|---|
| Adjumani | 137,357 UGX |
| Agago | 161,035 UGX |
| Amuru | 161,624 UGX |
| Arua | 140,849 UGX |
| Bugiri | 170,571 UGX |
| Busia | 163,521 UGX |
| Gulu | 157,410 UGX |
| Iganga | 153,628 UGX |
| Kabale | 167,274 UGX |
| Kabarole | 170,818 UGX |
| Kampala | 164,965 UGX |
| Kamwenge | 154,896 UGX |
| Kapchorwa | 153,860 UGX |
| Kiboga | 170,501 UGX |
| Kyankwanzi | 169,326 UGX |
| Kyegegwa | 161,114 UGX |
| Kyenjojo | 158,905 UGX |
| Lira | 156,157 UGX |
| Masaka | 171,177 UGX |
| Masindi | 160,523 UGX |
| Mbale | 153,451 UGX |
| Mbarara | 156,737 UGX |
| Moroto | 170,798 UGX |
| Mubende | 166,697 UGX |
| Mukono | 166,349 UGX |
| Nakapiripirit | 147,136 UGX |
| Nebbi | 156,826 UGX |
| Pader | 146,889 UGX |
| Rubirizi | 156,902 UGX |
| Soroti | 155,827 UGX |
| Tororo | 160,861 UGX |
| Zombo | 150,258 UGX |
Summary of Seasonality for Uganda
Uganda's current (2026-05-04) seasonal price assessment for DRY MAIZE shows that market prices are 9740.00 UGX per 90kg ABOVE the 5-year average for June, indicating experiencing a seasonal alert conditions. The normal seasonal price for June is 150.00 ±7.00UGX, while the latest national average stands at 160523.00UGX per 90kg. End-of-month forecasts suggest a further change toward 162340UGX. The most extreme seasonal crisis conditions are currently observed in AGAGO (+17779.00UGX), KABAROLE (+67276.00UGX), MASAKA (+52930.00UGX), MASINDI (+52919.00UGX), MUBENDE (+55113.00UGX), indicating severe above-average price levels for DRY MAIZE in those regions. In the long term, the current annual average remains 6.5% HIGHER than the 5-year seasonal average, highlighting continued price elevation.
Latest Seasonal Prices Overview
| Current Seasonal Price Assessment | 9740 UGX ABOVE the 5-year average for June (experiencing a seasonal alert) |
|---|---|
| Normal Seasonal Price for June | 150,783 ±7,273UGX |
| Latest Country Average Price |
160,523 UGX |
| End of Month Seasonal Forecast | (For 2026-06-30)162,340 UGX |
| Long-term Seasonal Comparison |
|
Monthly Seasonality
Regional Price Above/Below 5-year Seasonal Average
| Adjumani | -18,617UGX unseasonably low |
|---|---|
| Agago | +17,779UGX experiencing a seasonal crisis |
| Amuru | +3,438UGX experiencing a seasonal alert |
| Arua | -27,952UGX unseasonably low |
| Bugiri | +22,529UGX experiencing a seasonal stress |
| Busia | +24,337UGX experiencing a seasonal alert |
| Gulu | +26,505UGX experiencing a seasonal alert |
| Iganga | +35,901UGX experiencing a seasonal alert |
| Kabale | +40,376UGX experiencing a seasonal alert |
| Kabarole | +67,276UGX experiencing a seasonal crisis |
| Kampala | +32,818UGX experiencing a seasonal alert |
| Kamwenge | -4,077UGX seasonably normal |
| Kapchorwa | +8,295UGX experiencing a seasonal stress |
| Kiboga | +14,818UGX experiencing a seasonal stress |
| Kyegegwa | +1,877UGX seasonably normal |
| Kyenjojo | +5,943UGX seasonably normal |
| Masaka | +52,930UGX experiencing a seasonal crisis |
| Masindi | +52,919UGX experiencing a seasonal crisis |
| Mbale | +19,651UGX experiencing a seasonal stress |
| Mbarara | +27,813UGX experiencing a seasonal alert |
| Mubende | +55,113UGX experiencing a seasonal crisis |
| Nakapiripirit | -32,163UGX unseasonably low |
| Nebbi | -4,259UGX unseasonably low |
| Pader | -11,237UGX unseasonably low |
| Soroti | +5,288UGX experiencing a seasonal stress |
| Tororo | +32,272UGX experiencing a seasonal alert |
| Zombo | +6,109UGX experiencing a seasonal alert |
Summary of Latest Price Predictions for Uganda
At 4 May 2026, the national average market price was 160,523.00 UGX, with forecasts indicating a moderate increase to an average of 162,340.00 UGX in June 2026. Regional projections show a varied pattern of price movements across the country. NAKAPIRIPIRIT (+6.0%), ZOMBO (+2.3%), NEBBI (+2.2%) are expected to experience the strongest upward shifts, while moderate increases are also projected in GULU (+1.2%), ABIM (+0.5%). Meanwhile, declines are anticipated in KAMPALA (-7.8%), AMURU (-7.4%), AGAGO (-3.6%), with smaller decreases expected in IBURASIRASUBA (-3.4%), KABALE (-3.2%), MOROTO (-0.5%).
Market Forecasts Overview
| Latest Country Average (As at 2026-05-04) |
160,523 UGX |
|---|---|
| End-of-week Country Average Forecast (For 2026-06-08) |
163,056 UGX |
| End-of-month Country Average Forecast (For 2026-06-30) | 162,340 UGX |
| Regions with Forecasted Rising Prices (End-of-month forecast for 2026-06-30) |
NAKAPIRIPIRIT: +9,782.00 UGX ZOMBO: +3,565.00 UGX NEBBI: +3,423.57 UGX |
| Regions with Forecasted Falling Prices (End-of-month forecast for 2026-06-30) |
KAMPALA: -12,953.00 UGX AMURU: -12,183.00 UGX AGAGO: -5,766.50 UGX |
Country Average Price Forecast
Regional End-of-month Forecasts
| Abim | Increase 0.5% |
|---|---|
| Agago | Decrease -3.6% |
| Amuru | Decrease -7.4% |
| Gulu | Increase 1.2% |
| Iburasirasuba | Decrease -3.4% |
| Kabale | Decrease -3.2% |
| Kampala | Decrease -7.8% |
| Lira District | Decrease -0.5% |
| Moroto | Decrease -0.5% |
| Nakapiripirit | Increase 6.0% |
| Nebbi | Increase 2.2% |
| Zombo | Increase 2.3% |
Trade Corridors Summary (2025Q1)
The trade corridors for agricultural products in Kenya encompass several key routes connecting major agricultural regions to crucial transportation hubs and markets. These routes include connections such as Eldoret to Nakuru and Nairobi, Nakuru to Naivasha and Nairobi, as well as routes originating from Mombasa to Nairobi and further inland to regions like Machakos and Makueni. Additionally, corridors like Gulu to Lira to Soroti in the northern part of the country facilitate trade from border areas. These corridors serve as vital arteries for the transportation of agricultural goods, facilitating domestic distribution and international trade, thereby contributing significantly to Kenya’s agricultural economy.
Trade Corridors (2024 Q1)
| Eldoret⟶Nakuru⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.24) |
| Nakuru⟶Naivasha⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.85) |
| Kitale⟶Eldoret⟶Nakuru (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.39) |
| Mombasa⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.16) |
| Malaba⟶Eldoret⟶Nakuru⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.43) |
| Busia⟶Kakamega⟶Eldoret⟶Nakuru⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.24) |
| Isiolo⟶Nanyuki⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.12) |
Regional Centrality (2024Q4)
| Iburengerazuba | 0.9784 |
|---|---|
| Majyaruguru | 0.8652 |
| Soroti | 0.7531 |
| Mubende | 0.6897 |
| Lira District | 0.6342 |
| Kapchorwa | 0.5231 |
| Iburasirasuba | 0.4321 |
| Amajvepfo | 0.3678 |
| Dar es Salaam | 0.2546 |
| Nairobi | 0.1432 |
| Kitui | 0.0567 |
Market Volatility and Dependency (2025Q1)
| Market | Volatility Score | Dependency Score | Vulnerability Index |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iburengerazuba | 0.9784 | 0.9784 | 0.9784 |
| Majyaruguru | 0.8652 | 0.8652 | 0.8652 |
| Soroti | 0.7531 | 0.7531 | 0.7531 |
| Mubende | 0.6897 | 0.6897 | 0.6897 |
| Lira District | 0.6342 | 0.6342 | 0.6342 |
| Kapchorwa | 0.5231 | 0.5231 | 0.5231 |
| Iburasirasuba | 0.4321 | 0.4321 | 0.4321 |
| Amajvepfo | 0.3678 | 0.3678 | 0.3678 |
| Dar es Salaam | 0.2546 | 0.2546 | 0.2546 |
| Nairobi | 0.1432 | 0.1432 | 0.1432 |
| Kitui | 0.0567 | 0.0567 | 0.0567 |
Volatility ranking/dependencies
Market Access and Efficiency (2025Q1)
| Market | Access Score | Efficiency Score | Integration Index |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iburengerazuba | 0.9784 | 0.9784 | 0.9784 |
| Majyaruguru | 0.8652 | 0.8652 | 0.8652 |
| Soroti | 0.7531 | 0.7531 | 0.7531 |
| Mubende | 0.6897 | 0.6897 | 0.6897 |
| Lira District | 0.6342 | 0.6342 | 0.6342 |
| Kapchorwa | 0.5231 | 0.5231 | 0.5231 |
| Iburasirasuba | 0.4321 | 0.4321 | 0.4321 |
| Amajvepfo | 0.3678 | 0.3678 | 0.3678 |
| Dar es Salaam | 0.2546 | 0.2546 | 0.2546 |
| Nairobi | 0.1432 | 0.1432 | 0.1432 |
| Kitui | 0.0567 | 0.0567 | 0.0567 |
