Market Outlook:

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Latest Prices Summary for

As of 2026-05-04, the average retail market price for camel milk in SOM stands at 43.82 USD per 90kg, slightly higher than the seven-day average of 43.95 USD. Considering the last years' retail prices for camel milk, prices had a seasonal high of 89.06 USD per 90kg and a seasonal low of 41.33 USD per 90kg. Arbitrage profitability is currently below average. In various regions, prices vary, with SOOL and HIIRAAN reporting the highest prices at 46.52 USD and 45.76 USD, respectively, while SANAAG and BAY report lower prices at 41.09 USD and 39.75 USD, respectively. Overall, market prices show regional disparities but remain relatively stable.

Latest Prices Overview

Country Average
(As at 2026-05-04)
43.82 USD
Seven Day Average 43.95 USD
12 Month Seasonal High 89.06 USD
12 Month Seasonal Low 41.33 USD
Arbitrage Profitability
Current arbitrage conditions are BELOW average (45/100)

Price Map

Regional Prices

Awdal 44.62 USD
Bakool 43.98 USD
Banaadir 41.24 USD
Bari 44.16 USD
Bay 39.75 USD
Galgaduud 43.51 USD
Gedo 45.37 USD
Hiiraan 45.76 USD
Jubbada Dhexe 42.41 USD
Jubbada Hoose 45.63 USD
Mudug 43.62 USD
Nugaal 44.50 USD
Sanaag 41.09 USD
Shabeellaha Dhexe 45.48 USD
Shabeellaha Hoose 43.72 USD
Somali 41.49 USD
Sool 46.52 USD
Togdheer 42.56 USD
Woqooyi Galbeed 41.71 USD

Summary of Seasonality for

Uganda's current (2026-05-04) seasonal price assessment for CAMEL MILK shows that market prices are 10.73 USD per 90kg BELOW the 5-year average for June, indicating experiencing a seasonal alert conditions. The normal seasonal price for June is 55.00 ±11.00USD, while the latest national average stands at 43.82USD per 90kg. End-of-month forecasts suggest a further change toward 41.87USD. In the long term, the current annual average remains 19.7% LOWER than the 5-year seasonal average, highlighting continued market softness.

Latest Seasonal Prices Overview

(For 2026-06-30)
Current Seasonal Price Assessment -10.73 USD BELOW the 5-year average for June
(unseasonably low)
Normal Seasonal Price for June 55 ±11USD
Latest Country Average Price
44 USD
End of Month Seasonal Forecast 42 USD
Long-term Seasonal Comparison

Monthly Seasonality

Regional Price Above/Below 5-year Seasonal Average

Awdal +8.69USD
experiencing a seasonal alert
Bakool -18.07USD
unseasonably low
Banaadir -20.65USD
unseasonably low
Bari -114.96USD
unseasonably low
Bay -19.63USD
unseasonably low
Galgaduud -40.26USD
unseasonably low
Gedo -18.21USD
unseasonably low
Hiiraan -39.98USD
unseasonably low
Jubbada Dhexe -19.78USD
unseasonably low
Jubbada Hoose -21.02USD
unseasonably low
Mandera -14.59USD
unseasonably low
Mudug -64.19USD
unseasonably low
Nugaal -60.21USD
unseasonably low
Sanaag -42.63USD
unseasonably low
Shabeellaha Dhexe -45.59USD
unseasonably low
Shabeellaha Hoose -23.74USD
unseasonably low
Somali -6.12USD
unseasonably low
Sool -77.37USD
unseasonably low
Togdheer +10.67USD
experiencing a seasonal alert
Woqooyi Galbeed +8.43USD
experiencing a seasonal alert

Summary of Latest Price Predictions for

At 4 May 2026, the national average market price was 43.82 USD, with forecasts indicating a moderate decrease to an average of 41.87 USD in June 2026. Regional projections show a varied pattern of price movements across the country. SOOL (+8.2%) are expected to experience the strongest upward shifts.

Market Forecasts Overview

Latest Country Average
(As at 2026-05-04)
44 USD
End-of-week Country Average Forecast
(For 2026-06-08)
42 USD
End-of-month Country Average Forecast
(For 2026-06-30)
42 USD
Regions with Forecasted Rising Prices
(End-of-month forecast for 2026-06-30)
SOOL: +3.71 USD
JUBBADA HOOSE: 0.00 USD
Regions with Forecasted Falling Prices
(End-of-month forecast for 2026-06-30)
JUBBADA HOOSE: 0.00 USD
SOOL: +3.71 USD

Country Average Price Forecast

Regional End-of-month Forecasts

Jubbada Hoose Decrease 0.0%
Sool Increase 8.2%

Trade Corridors Summary (2025Q1)

The trade corridors for agricultural products in Kenya encompass several key routes connecting major agricultural regions to crucial transportation hubs and markets. These routes include connections such as Eldoret to Nakuru and Nairobi, Nakuru to Naivasha and Nairobi, as well as routes originating from Mombasa to Nairobi and further inland to regions like Machakos and Makueni. Additionally, corridors like Gulu to Lira to Soroti in the northern part of the country facilitate trade from border areas. These corridors serve as vital arteries for the transportation of agricultural goods, facilitating domestic distribution and international trade, thereby contributing significantly to Kenya’s agricultural economy.

Trade Corridors (2024 Q1)

Eldoret⟶Nakuru⟶Nairobi
(Relative Efficiency Score: 0.24)
Nakuru⟶Naivasha⟶Nairobi
(Relative Efficiency Score: 0.85)
Kitale⟶Eldoret⟶Nakuru
(Relative Efficiency Score: 0.39)
Mombasa⟶Nairobi
(Relative Efficiency Score: 0.16)
Malaba⟶Eldoret⟶Nakuru⟶Nairobi
(Relative Efficiency Score: 0.43)
Busia⟶Kakamega⟶Eldoret⟶Nakuru⟶Nairobi
(Relative Efficiency Score: 0.24)
Isiolo⟶Nanyuki⟶Nairobi
(Relative Efficiency Score: 0.12)

Regional Centrality (2024Q4)

Iburengerazuba 0.9784
Majyaruguru 0.8652
Soroti 0.7531
Mubende 0.6897
Lira District 0.6342
Kapchorwa 0.5231
Iburasirasuba 0.4321
Amajvepfo 0.3678
Dar es Salaam 0.2546
Nairobi 0.1432
Kitui 0.0567

Market Volatility and Dependency (2025Q1)

Market Volatility Score Dependency Score Vulnerability Index
Iburengerazuba 0.9784 0.9784 0.9784
Majyaruguru 0.8652 0.8652 0.8652
Soroti 0.7531 0.7531 0.7531
Mubende 0.6897 0.6897 0.6897
Lira District 0.6342 0.6342 0.6342
Kapchorwa 0.5231 0.5231 0.5231
Iburasirasuba 0.4321 0.4321 0.4321
Amajvepfo 0.3678 0.3678 0.3678
Dar es Salaam 0.2546 0.2546 0.2546
Nairobi 0.1432 0.1432 0.1432
Kitui 0.0567 0.0567 0.0567

Volatility ranking/dependencies

Market Access and Efficiency (2025Q1)

Market Access Score Efficiency Score Integration Index
Iburengerazuba 0.9784 0.9784 0.9784
Majyaruguru 0.8652 0.8652 0.8652
Soroti 0.7531 0.7531 0.7531
Mubende 0.6897 0.6897 0.6897
Lira District 0.6342 0.6342 0.6342
Kapchorwa 0.5231 0.5231 0.5231
Iburasirasuba 0.4321 0.4321 0.4321
Amajvepfo 0.3678 0.3678 0.3678
Dar es Salaam 0.2546 0.2546 0.2546
Nairobi 0.1432 0.1432 0.1432
Kitui 0.0567 0.0567 0.0567