Latest Prices Summary for
As of 2026-05-04, the average retail market price for dry maize in SOM stands at 39.07 USD per 90kg, slightly higher than the seven-day average of 39.30 USD. Considering the last years' retail prices for dry maize, prices had a seasonal high of 50.50 USD per 90kg and a seasonal low of 38.34 USD per 90kg. Arbitrage profitability is currently below average. In various regions, prices vary, with SOOL and HIIRAAN reporting the highest prices at 40.78 USD and 40.73 USD, respectively, while BAY and BARI report lower prices at 36.26 USD and 33.86 USD, respectively. Overall, market prices show regional disparities but remain relatively stable.
Latest Prices Overview
| Country Average (As at 2026-05-04) |
39.07 USD |
|---|---|
| Seven Day Average | 39.30 USD |
| 12 Month Seasonal High | 50.50 USD |
| 12 Month Seasonal Low | 38.34 USD |
| Arbitrage Profitability |
Current arbitrage conditions are BELOW average (46/100)
|
Price Map
Summary of Seasonality for
Uganda's current (2026-05-04) seasonal price assessment for DRY MAIZE shows that market prices are 6.87 USD per 90kg BELOW the 5-year average for June, indicating unseasonably low conditions. The normal seasonal price for June is 46.00 ±2.00USD, while the latest national average stands at 39.07USD per 90kg. In the long term, the current annual average remains 15.0% LOWER than the 5-year seasonal average, highlighting continued market softness.
Latest Seasonal Prices Overview
| Current Seasonal Price Assessment | -6.87 USD BELOW the 5-year average for June (unseasonably low) |
|---|---|
| Normal Seasonal Price for June | 46 ±2USD |
| Latest Country Average Price |
39 USD |
| End of Month Seasonal Forecast | We are working on generating this indicator |
| Long-term Seasonal Comparison |
|
Monthly Seasonality
Regional Price Above/Below 5-year Seasonal Average
| Bakool | -13.32USD unseasonably low |
|---|---|
| Bari | -24.47USD unseasonably low |
| Bay | -10.39USD unseasonably low |
| Galgaduud | -13.40USD unseasonably low |
| Gedo | -8.09USD unseasonably low |
| Hiiraan | -5.18USD unseasonably low |
| Jubbada Hoose | -5.59USD unseasonably low |
| Mudug | -22.70USD unseasonably low |
| Nugaal | -7.33USD unseasonably low |
| Shabeellaha Dhexe | -5.05USD unseasonably low |
| Somali | -8.87USD unseasonably low |
Summary of Latest Price Predictions for
Market Forecasts Overview
| Latest Country Average (As at 2026-05-04) |
39 USD |
|---|---|
| End-of-week Country Average Forecast (For ) |
0 USD |
| End-of-month Country Average Forecast (For ) | 0 USD |
| Regions with Forecasted Rising Prices (End-of-month forecast for ) |
SOOL: +14.47 USD |
| Regions with Forecasted Falling Prices (End-of-month forecast for ) |
SOOL: +14.47 USD |
Country Average Price Forecast
Regional End-of-month Forecasts
| Sool | Increase 34.7% |
|---|
Trade Corridors Summary (2025Q1)
The trade corridors for agricultural products in Kenya encompass several key routes connecting major agricultural regions to crucial transportation hubs and markets. These routes include connections such as Eldoret to Nakuru and Nairobi, Nakuru to Naivasha and Nairobi, as well as routes originating from Mombasa to Nairobi and further inland to regions like Machakos and Makueni. Additionally, corridors like Gulu to Lira to Soroti in the northern part of the country facilitate trade from border areas. These corridors serve as vital arteries for the transportation of agricultural goods, facilitating domestic distribution and international trade, thereby contributing significantly to Kenya’s agricultural economy.
Trade Corridors (2024 Q1)
| Eldoret⟶Nakuru⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.24) |
| Nakuru⟶Naivasha⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.85) |
| Kitale⟶Eldoret⟶Nakuru (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.39) |
| Mombasa⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.16) |
| Malaba⟶Eldoret⟶Nakuru⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.43) |
| Busia⟶Kakamega⟶Eldoret⟶Nakuru⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.24) |
| Isiolo⟶Nanyuki⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.12) |
Regional Centrality (2024Q4)
| Iburengerazuba | 0.9784 |
|---|---|
| Majyaruguru | 0.8652 |
| Soroti | 0.7531 |
| Mubende | 0.6897 |
| Lira District | 0.6342 |
| Kapchorwa | 0.5231 |
| Iburasirasuba | 0.4321 |
| Amajvepfo | 0.3678 |
| Dar es Salaam | 0.2546 |
| Nairobi | 0.1432 |
| Kitui | 0.0567 |
Market Volatility and Dependency (2025Q1)
| Market | Volatility Score | Dependency Score | Vulnerability Index |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iburengerazuba | 0.9784 | 0.9784 | 0.9784 |
| Majyaruguru | 0.8652 | 0.8652 | 0.8652 |
| Soroti | 0.7531 | 0.7531 | 0.7531 |
| Mubende | 0.6897 | 0.6897 | 0.6897 |
| Lira District | 0.6342 | 0.6342 | 0.6342 |
| Kapchorwa | 0.5231 | 0.5231 | 0.5231 |
| Iburasirasuba | 0.4321 | 0.4321 | 0.4321 |
| Amajvepfo | 0.3678 | 0.3678 | 0.3678 |
| Dar es Salaam | 0.2546 | 0.2546 | 0.2546 |
| Nairobi | 0.1432 | 0.1432 | 0.1432 |
| Kitui | 0.0567 | 0.0567 | 0.0567 |
Volatility ranking/dependencies
Market Access and Efficiency (2025Q1)
| Market | Access Score | Efficiency Score | Integration Index |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iburengerazuba | 0.9784 | 0.9784 | 0.9784 |
| Majyaruguru | 0.8652 | 0.8652 | 0.8652 |
| Soroti | 0.7531 | 0.7531 | 0.7531 |
| Mubende | 0.6897 | 0.6897 | 0.6897 |
| Lira District | 0.6342 | 0.6342 | 0.6342 |
| Kapchorwa | 0.5231 | 0.5231 | 0.5231 |
| Iburasirasuba | 0.4321 | 0.4321 | 0.4321 |
| Amajvepfo | 0.3678 | 0.3678 | 0.3678 |
| Dar es Salaam | 0.2546 | 0.2546 | 0.2546 |
| Nairobi | 0.1432 | 0.1432 | 0.1432 |
| Kitui | 0.0567 | 0.0567 | 0.0567 |
