Latest Prices Summary for Uganda
As of 2026-03-25, the average wholesale market price for dry maize in UGA stands at 151,452 UGX per 90kg, slightly higher than the seven-day average of 151,894 UGX. Considering the last years' wholesale prices for dry maize, prices had a seasonal high of 156,572 UGX per 90kg and a seasonal low of 139,329 UGX per 90kg. Arbitrage profitability is currently below average. In various regions, prices vary, with WAKISO and MUKONO reporting the highest prices at 169,778 UGX and 169,038 UGX, respectively, while IGANGA and MUBENDE report lower prices at 117,150 UGX and 94,488 UGX, respectively. Overall, market prices show regional disparities but remain relatively stable.
Latest Prices Overview
| Country Average (As at 2026-03-25) |
151,452 UGX |
|---|---|
| Seven Day Average | 151,894 UGX |
| 12 Month Seasonal High | 156,572 UGX |
| 12 Month Seasonal Low | 139,329 UGX |
| Arbitrage Profitability |
Current arbitrage conditions are BELOW average (42/100)
|
Price Map
Regional Prices
| Wakiso | 169,778 UGX |
|---|---|
| Mukono | 169,038 UGX |
| Mbale | 168,917 UGX |
| Kyenjojo | 168,852 UGX |
| Masindi | 168,753 UGX |
| Kyankwanzi | 168,205 UGX |
| Adjumani | 167,896 UGX |
| Kabarole | 167,830 UGX |
| Nebbi | 164,604 UGX |
| Abim | 163,259 UGX |
| Nakapiripirit | 162,773 UGX |
| Pader | 162,677 UGX |
| Amuru | 162,424 UGX |
| Bugiri | 153,782 UGX |
| Kampala | 153,146 UGX |
| Amuria | 152,840 UGX |
| Busia | 150,773 UGX |
| Tororo | 149,754 UGX |
| Gulu | 149,578 UGX |
| Zombo | 148,053 UGX |
| Lira District | 144,018 UGX |
| Agago | 142,504 UGX |
| Kabale | 141,683 UGX |
| Kapchorwa | 140,852 UGX |
| Kyegegwa | 139,036 UGX |
| Soroti | 134,813 UGX |
| Kamwenge | 134,186 UGX |
| Kiboga | 133,998 UGX |
| Mbarara | 131,869 UGX |
| Moroto | 126,161 UGX |
| Lira | 125,454 UGX |
| Arua | 125,247 UGX |
| Rubirizi | 121,470 UGX |
| Masaka | 118,281 UGX |
| Iganga | 117,150 UGX |
| Mubende | 94,488 UGX |
Summary of Seasonality for Uganda
Uganda’s current seasonal price assessment for 2026-03-25 shows that market prices are 2517.00 UGX ABOVE the 5-year average for April, indicating slightly elevated conditions. The normal seasonal price for April is 148935.00 ±7908.00UGX, while the latest national average stands at 151452.00UGX. End-of-month forecasts suggest a further change toward 155049UGX. In the long term, the current annual average remains 0.0% HIGHER than the 5-year seasonal average, highlighting continued price elevation.
Latest Seasonal Prices Overview
| Current Seasonal Price Assessment | 2517 UGX ABOVE the 5-year average for April (experiencing a seasonal stress) |
|---|---|
| Normal Seasonal Price for April | 148935 ±7908UGX |
| Latest Country Average Price |
151452 UGX |
| End of Month Seasonal Forecast | (For 2026-04-30)155049 UGX |
| Long-term Seasonal Comparison |
|
Monthly Seasonality
Regional Price Above/Below 5-year Seasonal Average
Summary of Latest Price Predictions for Uganda
At 2026-03-25, the national average market price was 151,452.00 UGX, with forecasts indicating a moderate increase to 156,261.00 UGX by mid-October before easing to around 155,049.00 UGX by the end of November. Regional projections show a varied pattern of price movements across the country. KIBOGA (+35.4%), MUBENDE (+27.9%), KAMWENGE (+25.5%) are expected to experience the strongest upward shifts, while moderate increases are also projected in KYEGEGWA (+22.0%), ARUA (+18.6%), NAKAPIRIPIRIT (+13.0%). Meanwhile, declines are anticipated in MASINDI (-30.0%), KABAROLE (-17.4%), ADJUMANI (-6.9%), with smaller decreases expected in LIRA DISTRICT (-5.9%), KYENJOJO (-5.8%), KAMPALA (-3.5%).
Market Forecasts Overview
| Latest Country Average (As at 2026-03-25) |
151452 UGX |
|---|---|
| End-of-week Country Average Forecast (For 2026-04-13) |
156261 UGX |
| End-of-month Country Average Forecast (For 2026-04-30) | 155049 UGX |
| Regions with Forecasted Rising Prices (End-of-month forecast for 2026-04-30) |
KIBOGA: +47,465.00 UGX KAMWENGE: +34,183.00 UGX KYEGEGWA: +30,598.00 UGX |
| Regions with Forecasted Falling Prices (End-of-month forecast for 2026-04-30) |
MASINDI: -50,656.00 UGX KABAROLE: -29,277.00 UGX ADJUMANI: -11,548.00 UGX |
Country Average Price Forecast
Regional End-of-month Forecasts
| Kampala | Decrease -3.5% |
|---|---|
| Masaka | Increase 1.0% |
| Amuru | Decrease -2.5% |
| Arua | Increase 18.6% |
| Kamwenge | Increase 25.5% |
| Amuria | Increase 1.4% |
| Zombo | Increase 1.8% |
| Iburasirasuba | Increase 3.9% |
| Soroti | Increase 10.2% |
| Bugiri | Increase 4.4% |
| Lira District | Decrease -5.9% |
| Pader | Increase 1.0% |
| Abim | Increase 0.1% |
| Nebbi | Increase 0.8% |
| Nakapiripirit | Increase 13.0% |
| Kyankwanzi | Increase 9.4% |
| Agago | Increase 2.3% |
| Iganga | Increase 4.8% |
| Kyenjojo | Decrease -5.8% |
| Kabarole | Decrease -17.4% |
| Lira | Decrease -3.0% |
| Tororo | Increase 6.3% |
| Adjumani | Decrease -6.9% |
| Gulu | Increase 2.4% |
| Masindi | Decrease -30.0% |
| Kabale | Decrease -1.2% |
| Kapchorwa | Increase 2.7% |
| Mbarara | Decrease -1.7% |
| Kiboga | Increase 35.4% |
| Busia | Decrease -0.2% |
| Mubende | Increase 27.9% |
| Kyegegwa | Increase 22.0% |
Trade Corridors Summary (2025Q1)
The trade corridors for agricultural products in Kenya encompass several key routes connecting major agricultural regions to crucial transportation hubs and markets. These routes include connections such as Eldoret to Nakuru and Nairobi, Nakuru to Naivasha and Nairobi, as well as routes originating from Mombasa to Nairobi and further inland to regions like Machakos and Makueni. Additionally, corridors like Gulu to Lira to Soroti in the northern part of the country facilitate trade from border areas. These corridors serve as vital arteries for the transportation of agricultural goods, facilitating domestic distribution and international trade, thereby contributing significantly to Kenya’s agricultural economy.
Trade Corridors (2024 Q1)
| Eldoret⟶Nakuru⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.24) |
| Nakuru⟶Naivasha⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.85) |
| Kitale⟶Eldoret⟶Nakuru (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.39) |
| Mombasa⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.16) |
| Malaba⟶Eldoret⟶Nakuru⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.43) |
| Busia⟶Kakamega⟶Eldoret⟶Nakuru⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.24) |
| Isiolo⟶Nanyuki⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.12) |
Regional Centrality (2024Q4)
| Iburengerazuba | 0.9784 |
|---|---|
| Majyaruguru | 0.8652 |
| Soroti | 0.7531 |
| Mubende | 0.6897 |
| Lira District | 0.6342 |
| Kapchorwa | 0.5231 |
| Iburasirasuba | 0.4321 |
| Amajvepfo | 0.3678 |
| Dar es Salaam | 0.2546 |
| Nairobi | 0.1432 |
| Kitui | 0.0567 |
Market Volatility and Dependency (2025Q1)
| Market | Volatility Score | Dependency Score | Vulnerability Index |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iburengerazuba | 0.9784 | 0.9784 | 0.9784 |
| Majyaruguru | 0.8652 | 0.8652 | 0.8652 |
| Soroti | 0.7531 | 0.7531 | 0.7531 |
| Mubende | 0.6897 | 0.6897 | 0.6897 |
| Lira District | 0.6342 | 0.6342 | 0.6342 |
| Kapchorwa | 0.5231 | 0.5231 | 0.5231 |
| Iburasirasuba | 0.4321 | 0.4321 | 0.4321 |
| Amajvepfo | 0.3678 | 0.3678 | 0.3678 |
| Dar es Salaam | 0.2546 | 0.2546 | 0.2546 |
| Nairobi | 0.1432 | 0.1432 | 0.1432 |
| Kitui | 0.0567 | 0.0567 | 0.0567 |
Volatility ranking/dependencies
Market Access and Efficiency (2025Q1)
| Market | Access Score | Efficiency Score | Integration Index |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iburengerazuba | 0.9784 | 0.9784 | 0.9784 |
| Majyaruguru | 0.8652 | 0.8652 | 0.8652 |
| Soroti | 0.7531 | 0.7531 | 0.7531 |
| Mubende | 0.6897 | 0.6897 | 0.6897 |
| Lira District | 0.6342 | 0.6342 | 0.6342 |
| Kapchorwa | 0.5231 | 0.5231 | 0.5231 |
| Iburasirasuba | 0.4321 | 0.4321 | 0.4321 |
| Amajvepfo | 0.3678 | 0.3678 | 0.3678 |
| Dar es Salaam | 0.2546 | 0.2546 | 0.2546 |
| Nairobi | 0.1432 | 0.1432 | 0.1432 |
| Kitui | 0.0567 | 0.0567 | 0.0567 |
