Latest Prices Summary for Kenya
As of 2026-03-25, the average wholesale market price for dry maize in KEN stands at 5,629 KES per 90kg, slightly higher than the seven-day average of 5,541 KES. Considering the last years' wholesale prices for dry maize, prices had a seasonal high of 5,518 KES per 90kg and a seasonal low of 5,374 KES per 90kg. Arbitrage profitability is currently below average. In various regions, prices vary, with LYANTONDE and MARSABIT reporting the highest prices at 5,903 KES and 5,883 KES, respectively, while KIRINYAGA and BOMET report lower prices at 4,827 KES and 4,524 KES, respectively. Overall, market prices show regional disparities but remain relatively stable.
Latest Prices Overview
| Country Average (As at 2026-03-25) |
5,629 KES |
|---|---|
| Seven Day Average | 5,541 KES |
| 12 Month Seasonal High | 5,518 KES |
| 12 Month Seasonal Low | 5,374 KES |
| Arbitrage Profitability |
Current arbitrage conditions are BELOW average (34/100)
|
Price Map
Regional Prices
| Lyantonde | 5,903 KES |
|---|---|
| Marsabit | 5,883 KES |
| Tana River | 5,881 KES |
| Wajir | 5,874 KES |
| Iburengerazuba | 5,873 KES |
| Narok | 5,862 KES |
| Arusha | 5,860 KES |
| Kwale | 5,827 KES |
| Bas-Uele | 5,826 KES |
| Tororo | 5,809 KES |
| Mombasa | 5,803 KES |
| Kisii | 5,785 KES |
| Nakuru | 5,778 KES |
| Kajiado | 5,775 KES |
| Isiolo | 5,762 KES |
| Murang`a | 5,737 KES |
| Kericho | 5,734 KES |
| West Pokot | 5,725 KES |
| Bungoma | 5,720 KES |
| Murang\'a | 5,719 KES |
| Siaya | 5,698 KES |
| Uasin Gishu | 5,666 KES |
| Elgeyo-Marakwet | 5,660 KES |
| Makueni | 5,631 KES |
| Turkana | 5,607 KES |
| Busia | 5,594 KES |
| Kisumu | 5,515 KES |
| Trans Nzoia | 5,507 KES |
| Laikipia | 5,502 KES |
| Baringo | 5,497 KES |
| Vihiga | 5,497 KES |
| Migori | 5,489 KES |
| Garissa | 5,488 KES |
| Nyamira | 5,465 KES |
| Lamu | 5,457 KES |
| Mandera | 5,456 KES |
| Kiambu | 5,449 KES |
| Tharaka-Nithi | 5,420 KES |
| Nandi | 5,398 KES |
| Nyandarua | 5,385 KES |
| Homa Bay | 5,379 KES |
| Nairobi | 5,375 KES |
| Kilifi | 5,354 KES |
| Kakamega | 5,342 KES |
| Samburu | 5,322 KES |
| Nyeri | 5,318 KES |
| Kitui | 5,202 KES |
| Machakos | 5,111 KES |
| Meru | 5,098 KES |
| Taita Taveta | 5,091 KES |
| Embu | 4,925 KES |
| Murang'a | 4,925 KES |
| Kirinyaga | 4,827 KES |
| Bomet | 4,524 KES |
Summary of Seasonality for Kenya
Uganda’s current seasonal price assessment for 2026-03-25 shows that market prices are 277.00 KES ABOVE the 5-year average for April, indicating unseasonably high conditions. The normal seasonal price for April is 5352.00 ±318.00KES, while the latest national average stands at 5629.00KES. End-of-month forecasts suggest a further change toward 5627KES. In the long term, the current annual average remains 0.0% HIGHER than the 5-year seasonal average, highlighting continued price elevation.
Latest Seasonal Prices Overview
| Current Seasonal Price Assessment | 277 KES ABOVE the 5-year average for April (experiencing a seasonal stress) |
|---|---|
| Normal Seasonal Price for April | 5352 ±318KES |
| Latest Country Average Price |
5629 KES |
| End of Month Seasonal Forecast | (For 2026-04-30)5627 KES |
| Long-term Seasonal Comparison |
|
Monthly Seasonality
Regional Price Above/Below 5-year Seasonal Average
Summary of Latest Price Predictions for Kenya
At 2026-03-25, the national average market price was 5,629.00 KES, with forecasts indicating a moderate increase to 5,648.00 KES by mid-October before easing to around 5,627.00 KES by the end of November. Regional projections show a varied pattern of price movements across the country. BOMET (+6.9%), LAMU (+5.9%), MACHAKOS (+5.7%) are expected to experience the strongest upward shifts, while moderate increases are also projected in MBALE (+5.6%), HOMA BAY (+4.3%), NANDI (+4.2%). Meanwhile, declines are anticipated in MOMBASA (-13.3%), BAS-UELE (-8.8%), KAJIADO (-4.8%), with smaller decreases expected in TANA RIVER (-3.5%), NAROK (-3.1%), MIGORI (-3.1%).
Market Forecasts Overview
| Latest Country Average (As at 2026-03-25) |
5629 KES |
|---|---|
| End-of-week Country Average Forecast (For 2026-04-13) |
5648 KES |
| End-of-month Country Average Forecast (For 2026-04-30) | 5627 KES |
| Regions with Forecasted Rising Prices (End-of-month forecast for 2026-04-30) |
LAMU: +319.50 KES BOMET: +315.33 KES MACHAKOS: +296.25 KES |
| Regions with Forecasted Falling Prices (End-of-month forecast for 2026-04-30) |
MOMBASA: -772.67 KES BAS-UELE: -510.50 KES KAJIADO: -274.00 KES |
Country Average Price Forecast
Regional End-of-month Forecasts
| Laikipia | Increase 1.0% |
|---|---|
| Bungoma | Decrease -1.8% |
| Meru | Decrease -1.8% |
| Homa Bay | Increase 4.3% |
| Kitui | Increase 0.1% |
| Vihiga | Increase 3.1% |
| West Pokot | Decrease -2.4% |
| Kilifi | Decrease -0.2% |
| Nairobi | Decrease -2.7% |
| Kisii | Decrease -2.9% |
| Tharaka-Nithi | Decrease -1.4% |
| Kajiado | Decrease -4.8% |
| Bomet | Increase 6.9% |
| Lamu | Increase 5.9% |
| Nandi | Increase 4.2% |
| Taita Taveta | Increase 0.5% |
| Nyamira | Decrease -2.7% |
| Siaya | Decrease -2.3% |
| Kakamega | Decrease -1.5% |
| Garissa | Decrease -1.1% |
| Samburu | Increase 3.3% |
| Murang'a | Increase 2.1% |
| Kisumu | Increase 0.6% |
| Nyeri | Increase 2.9% |
| Migori | Decrease -3.1% |
| Trans Nzoia | Increase 1.3% |
| Isiolo | Increase 1.9% |
| Busia | Decrease -1.0% |
| Mandera | Decrease -1.8% |
| Machakos | Increase 5.7% |
| Elgeyo-Marakwet | Decrease -1.6% |
| Tana River | Decrease -3.5% |
| Baringo | Decrease -2.4% |
| Nakuru | Decrease -2.3% |
| Kirinyaga | Decrease -0.6% |
| Turkana | Increase 1.2% |
| Uasin Gishu | Decrease -1.5% |
| Marsabit | Decrease -2.0% |
| Singida | Decrease -2.3% |
| Kericho | Decrease -0.3% |
| Makueni | Increase 2.9% |
| Embu | Increase 3.5% |
| Mombasa | Decrease -13.3% |
| Kiambu | Increase 2.2% |
| Bas-Uele | Decrease -8.8% |
| Nyandarua | Increase 1.1% |
| Kwale | Decrease -1.3% |
| Murang`a | Decrease -1.5% |
| Wajir | Decrease -1.3% |
| Mbale | Increase 5.6% |
| Narok | Decrease -3.1% |
Trade Corridors Summary (2025Q1)
The trade corridors for agricultural products in Kenya encompass several key routes connecting major agricultural regions to crucial transportation hubs and markets. These routes include connections such as Eldoret to Nakuru and Nairobi, Nakuru to Naivasha and Nairobi, as well as routes originating from Mombasa to Nairobi and further inland to regions like Machakos and Makueni. Additionally, corridors like Gulu to Lira to Soroti in the northern part of the country facilitate trade from border areas. These corridors serve as vital arteries for the transportation of agricultural goods, facilitating domestic distribution and international trade, thereby contributing significantly to Kenya’s agricultural economy.
Trade Corridors (2024 Q1)
| Eldoret⟶Nakuru⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.24) |
| Nakuru⟶Naivasha⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.85) |
| Kitale⟶Eldoret⟶Nakuru (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.39) |
| Mombasa⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.16) |
| Malaba⟶Eldoret⟶Nakuru⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.43) |
| Busia⟶Kakamega⟶Eldoret⟶Nakuru⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.24) |
| Isiolo⟶Nanyuki⟶Nairobi (Relative Efficiency Score: 0.12) |

Regional Centrality (2024Q4)
| Iburengerazuba | 0.9784 |
|---|---|
| Majyaruguru | 0.8652 |
| Soroti | 0.7531 |
| Mubende | 0.6897 |
| Lira District | 0.6342 |
| Kapchorwa | 0.5231 |
| Iburasirasuba | 0.4321 |
| Amajvepfo | 0.3678 |
| Dar es Salaam | 0.2546 |
| Nairobi | 0.1432 |
| Kitui | 0.0567 |
Market Volatility and Dependency (2025Q1)
| Market | Volatility Score | Dependency Score | Vulnerability Index |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iburengerazuba | 0.9784 | 0.9784 | 0.9784 |
| Majyaruguru | 0.8652 | 0.8652 | 0.8652 |
| Soroti | 0.7531 | 0.7531 | 0.7531 |
| Mubende | 0.6897 | 0.6897 | 0.6897 |
| Lira District | 0.6342 | 0.6342 | 0.6342 |
| Kapchorwa | 0.5231 | 0.5231 | 0.5231 |
| Iburasirasuba | 0.4321 | 0.4321 | 0.4321 |
| Amajvepfo | 0.3678 | 0.3678 | 0.3678 |
| Dar es Salaam | 0.2546 | 0.2546 | 0.2546 |
| Nairobi | 0.1432 | 0.1432 | 0.1432 |
| Kitui | 0.0567 | 0.0567 | 0.0567 |

Volatility ranking/dependencies
Market Access and Efficiency (2025Q1)
| Market | Access Score | Efficiency Score | Integration Index |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iburengerazuba | 0.9784 | 0.9784 | 0.9784 |
| Majyaruguru | 0.8652 | 0.8652 | 0.8652 |
| Soroti | 0.7531 | 0.7531 | 0.7531 |
| Mubende | 0.6897 | 0.6897 | 0.6897 |
| Lira District | 0.6342 | 0.6342 | 0.6342 |
| Kapchorwa | 0.5231 | 0.5231 | 0.5231 |
| Iburasirasuba | 0.4321 | 0.4321 | 0.4321 |
| Amajvepfo | 0.3678 | 0.3678 | 0.3678 |
| Dar es Salaam | 0.2546 | 0.2546 | 0.2546 |
| Nairobi | 0.1432 | 0.1432 | 0.1432 |
| Kitui | 0.0567 | 0.0567 | 0.0567 |
