Market Outlook:

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Latest Prices Summary for

As of 2026-03-25, the average retail market price for dry maize in SOM stands at 37.98 USD per 90kg, slightly higher than the seven-day average of 39.06 USD. Considering the last years' retail prices for dry maize, prices had a seasonal high of 51.85 USD per 90kg and a seasonal low of 38.34 USD per 90kg. Arbitrage profitability is currently above average. In various regions, prices vary, with NUGAAL and SHABEELLAHA DHEXE reporting the highest prices at 43.28 USD and 43.24 USD, respectively, while BAKOOL and SOMALI report lower prices at 36.39 USD and 35.23 USD, respectively. Overall, market prices show regional disparities but remain relatively stable.

Latest Prices Overview

Country Average
(As at 2026-03-25)
37.98 USD
Seven Day Average 39.06 USD
12 Month Seasonal High 51.85 USD
12 Month Seasonal Low 38.34 USD
Arbitrage Profitability
Current arbitrage conditions are ABOVE average (59/100)

Price Map

Regional Prices

Nugaal 43.28 USD
Shabeellaha Dhexe 43.24 USD
Jubbada Hoose 41.09 USD
Bari 40.49 USD
Sool 40.24 USD
Hiiraan 39.60 USD
Gedo 37.46 USD
Galgaduud 36.87 USD
Mudug 36.79 USD
Bay 36.47 USD
Bakool 36.39 USD
Somali 35.23 USD

Summary of Seasonality for

Uganda’s current seasonal price assessment for 2026-03-25 shows that market prices are 7.69 USD BELOW the 5-year average for April, indicating unseasonably low conditions. The normal seasonal price for April is 45.67 ±0.29USD, while the latest national average stands at 37.98USD. In the long term, the current annual average remains 0.0% HIGHER than the 5-year seasonal average, highlighting continued price elevation.

Latest Seasonal Prices Overview

Current Seasonal Price Assessment -7.69 USD BELOW the 5-year average for April
(unseasonably low)
Normal Seasonal Price for April 45.67 ±0.29USD
Latest Country Average Price
37.98 USD
End of Month Seasonal Forecast We are working on generating this indicator
Long-term Seasonal Comparison

Monthly Seasonality

Regional Price Above/Below 5-year Seasonal Average

Summary of Latest Price Predictions for

Market Forecasts Overview

Latest Country Average
(As at 2026-03-25)
37.98 USD
End-of-week Country Average Forecast
(For )
USD
End-of-month Country Average Forecast
(For )
USD
Regions with Forecasted Rising Prices
(End-of-month forecast for )
BARI: +20.84 USD
NUGAAL: +16.98 USD
JUBBADA HOOSE: +11.37 USD
Regions with Forecasted Falling Prices
(End-of-month forecast for )
MUDUG: +5.28 USD
SHABEELLAHA DHEXE: +7.02 USD
HIIRAAN: +8.12 USD

Country Average Price Forecast

Regional End-of-month Forecasts

Shabeellaha Dhexe Increase 17.4%
Bay Increase 30.4%
Gedo Increase 26.6%
Jubbada Hoose Increase 31.0%
Mudug Increase 14.0%
Bari Increase 53.2%
Nugaal Increase 39.2%
Galgaduud Increase 30.4%
Hiiraan Increase 21.1%

Trade Corridors Summary (2025Q1)

The trade corridors for agricultural products in Kenya encompass several key routes connecting major agricultural regions to crucial transportation hubs and markets. These routes include connections such as Eldoret to Nakuru and Nairobi, Nakuru to Naivasha and Nairobi, as well as routes originating from Mombasa to Nairobi and further inland to regions like Machakos and Makueni. Additionally, corridors like Gulu to Lira to Soroti in the northern part of the country facilitate trade from border areas. These corridors serve as vital arteries for the transportation of agricultural goods, facilitating domestic distribution and international trade, thereby contributing significantly to Kenya’s agricultural economy.

Trade Corridors (2024 Q1)

Eldoret⟶Nakuru⟶Nairobi
(Relative Efficiency Score: 0.24)
Nakuru⟶Naivasha⟶Nairobi
(Relative Efficiency Score: 0.85)
Kitale⟶Eldoret⟶Nakuru
(Relative Efficiency Score: 0.39)
Mombasa⟶Nairobi
(Relative Efficiency Score: 0.16)
Malaba⟶Eldoret⟶Nakuru⟶Nairobi
(Relative Efficiency Score: 0.43)
Busia⟶Kakamega⟶Eldoret⟶Nakuru⟶Nairobi
(Relative Efficiency Score: 0.24)
Isiolo⟶Nanyuki⟶Nairobi
(Relative Efficiency Score: 0.12)

Regional Centrality (2024Q4)

Iburengerazuba 0.9784
Majyaruguru 0.8652
Soroti 0.7531
Mubende 0.6897
Lira District 0.6342
Kapchorwa 0.5231
Iburasirasuba 0.4321
Amajvepfo 0.3678
Dar es Salaam 0.2546
Nairobi 0.1432
Kitui 0.0567

Market Volatility and Dependency (2025Q1)

Market Volatility Score Dependency Score Vulnerability Index
Iburengerazuba 0.9784 0.9784 0.9784
Majyaruguru 0.8652 0.8652 0.8652
Soroti 0.7531 0.7531 0.7531
Mubende 0.6897 0.6897 0.6897
Lira District 0.6342 0.6342 0.6342
Kapchorwa 0.5231 0.5231 0.5231
Iburasirasuba 0.4321 0.4321 0.4321
Amajvepfo 0.3678 0.3678 0.3678
Dar es Salaam 0.2546 0.2546 0.2546
Nairobi 0.1432 0.1432 0.1432
Kitui 0.0567 0.0567 0.0567

Volatility ranking/dependencies

Market Access and Efficiency (2025Q1)

Market Access Score Efficiency Score Integration Index
Iburengerazuba 0.9784 0.9784 0.9784
Majyaruguru 0.8652 0.8652 0.8652
Soroti 0.7531 0.7531 0.7531
Mubende 0.6897 0.6897 0.6897
Lira District 0.6342 0.6342 0.6342
Kapchorwa 0.5231 0.5231 0.5231
Iburasirasuba 0.4321 0.4321 0.4321
Amajvepfo 0.3678 0.3678 0.3678
Dar es Salaam 0.2546 0.2546 0.2546
Nairobi 0.1432 0.1432 0.1432
Kitui 0.0567 0.0567 0.0567