Market Outlook:

-

Latest Prices Summary for

As of 2026-03-25, the average market price for in stands at 43.18 USD per 90kg, slightly higher than the seven-day average of 42.78 USD. Considering the last years' prices for , prices had a seasonal high of 330.60 USD per 90kg and a seasonal low of 36.00 USD per 90kg. Arbitrage profitability is currently below average. In various regions, prices vary, with BARI and MUKONO reporting the highest prices at 51.54 USD and 51.06 USD, respectively, while NJOMBE and LIRA DISTRICT report lower prices at 36.95 USD and 33.77 USD, respectively. Overall, market prices show regional disparities but remain relatively stable.

Latest Prices Overview

Country Average
(As at 2026-03-25)
43.18 USD
Seven Day Average 42.78 USD
12 Month Seasonal High 330.60 USD
12 Month Seasonal Low 36.00 USD
Arbitrage Profitability
Current arbitrage conditions are BELOW average (23/100)

Price Map

Regional Prices

Bari 51.54 USD
Mukono 51.06 USD
Shabeellaha Dhexe 45.73 USD
Lyantonde 45.67 USD
Marsabit 45.65 USD
Kagera 45.63 USD
Yumbe 45.58 USD
Umujyi wa Kigali 45.55 USD
Iringa 45.44 USD
Trans Nzoia 45.43 USD
Tanga 45.43 USD
Narok 45.35 USD
Bas-Uele 45.26 USD
Nugaal 44.97 USD
Tororo 44.95 USD
Isiolo 44.94 USD
Hiiraan 44.88 USD
Kilimanjaro 44.80 USD
Kasese 44.80 USD
Murang\'a 44.64 USD
Abim 44.64 USD
Kiambu 44.60 USD
Tabora 44.46 USD
Nakuru 44.46 USD
Iburengerazuba 44.45 USD
Soroti 44.44 USD
Kajiado 44.43 USD
Kampala 44.41 USD
Bungoma 44.27 USD
Mtwara 44.14 USD
Mwanza 43.97 USD
Kisii 43.88 USD
Laikipia 43.86 USD
Arua 43.83 USD
Majyaruguru 43.82 USD
Gulu 43.76 USD
Wakiso 43.70 USD
Kabale 43.67 USD
Turkana 43.60 USD
Lamu 43.60 USD
Kwale 43.59 USD
Singida 43.53 USD
Garissa 43.51 USD
Uasin Gishu 43.27 USD
Amudat 43.27 USD
Murang`a 43.18 USD
Kisumu 43.17 USD
Bomet 43.16 USD
Pader 43.16 USD
Siaya 43.11 USD
Kiryandongo 43.11 USD
Busia 43.05 USD
Mudug 42.95 USD
Makueni 42.89 USD
Nebbi 42.88 USD
West Pokot 42.86 USD
Lindi 42.82 USD
Tana River 42.82 USD
Nandi 42.75 USD
Moyo 42.74 USD
Migori 42.68 USD
Kericho 42.67 USD
Kamwenge 42.66 USD
Baringo 42.64 USD
Iburasirasuba 42.60 USD
Dar es Salaam 42.49 USD
Amajvepfo 42.44 USD
Elgeyo-Marakwet 42.37 USD
Homa Bay 42.25 USD
Sool 42.16 USD
Vihiga 42.16 USD
Jubbada Hoose 42.15 USD
Simiyu 42.14 USD
Nyamira 42.14 USD
Wajir 41.94 USD
Nyeri 41.91 USD
Nairobi 41.85 USD
Banaadir 41.85 USD
Amuru 41.84 USD
Mombasa 41.82 USD
Isingiro 41.81 USD
Galgaduud 41.80 USD
Awdal 41.79 USD
Shabeellaha Hoose 41.48 USD
Gedo 41.39 USD
Jinja 41.38 USD
Nyandarua 41.34 USD
Kirinyaga 41.28 USD
Kabarole 41.25 USD
Arusha 41.13 USD
Kilifi 41.10 USD
Bakool 41.03 USD
Samburu 41.02 USD
Napak 41.02 USD
Kakamega 41.01 USD
Mbeya 40.92 USD
Nakapiripirit 40.88 USD
Mandera 40.74 USD
Kaabong 40.69 USD
Tharaka-Nithi 40.38 USD
Mara 40.35 USD
Machakos 40.29 USD
Bay 40.12 USD
Meru 40.09 USD
Murang'a 40.04 USD
Kigoma 40.02 USD
Sanaag 40.02 USD
Kitui 39.93 USD
Pwani 39.90 USD
Somali 39.81 USD
Togdheer 39.77 USD
Zombo 39.35 USD
Embu 39.22 USD
Jubbada Dhexe 39.04 USD
Adjumani 39.03 USD
Kyegegwa 38.90 USD
Lamwo 38.88 USD
Moroto 38.88 USD
Hoima 38.77 USD
Ruvuma 38.70 USD
Taita Taveta 38.54 USD
Agago 37.73 USD
Katavi 37.68 USD
Dodoma 37.55 USD
Woqooyi Galbeed 37.49 USD
Morogoro 37.43 USD
Manyara 37.34 USD
Geita 37.34 USD
Rukwa 37.04 USD
Njombe 36.95 USD
Lira District 33.77 USD

Summary of Seasonality for

Uganda’s current seasonal price assessment for 2026-03-25 shows that market prices are 0.34 USD BELOW the 5-year average for April, indicating seasonably normal conditions. The normal seasonal price for April is 43.52 ±3.16USD, while the latest national average stands at 43.18USD. End-of-month forecasts suggest a further change toward 42USD. In the long term, the current annual average remains 0.0% HIGHER than the 5-year seasonal average, highlighting continued price elevation.

Latest Seasonal Prices Overview

(For 2026-04-30)
Current Seasonal Price Assessment -0.34 USD BELOW the 5-year average for April
(unseasonably low)
Normal Seasonal Price for April 43.52 ±3.16USD
Latest Country Average Price
43.18 USD
End of Month Seasonal Forecast 42.00 USD
Long-term Seasonal Comparison

Monthly Seasonality

Regional Price Above/Below 5-year Seasonal Average

Summary of Latest Price Predictions for

Market Forecasts Overview

Latest Country Average
(As at 2026-03-25)
43.18 USD
End-of-week Country Average Forecast
(For 2026-04-13)
42.44 USD
End-of-month Country Average Forecast
(For )
USD
Regions with Forecasted Rising Prices
(End-of-month forecast for )
NUGAAL: +21.37 USD
GEDO: +7.31 USD
BAY: +6.76 USD
Regions with Forecasted Falling Prices
(End-of-month forecast for )
MASINDI: -13.78 USD
AMAJVEPFO: -6.74 USD
KAMPALA: -5.71 USD

Country Average Price Forecast

Regional End-of-month Forecasts

Mandera Decrease -1.1%
Baringo Decrease -2.1%
Tharaka-Nithi Increase 10.5%
Bungoma Decrease -0.5%
Amuru Increase 1.9%
Amajvepfo Decrease -14.8%
Siaya Decrease -1.1%
Kiambu Decrease -5.7%
Nairobi Increase 6.4%
Kakamega Increase 3.5%
Nyeri Decrease -0.7%
Bugiri Increase 7.8%
Pader Increase 2.7%
Kajiado Decrease -7.3%
Embu Increase 1.0%
Mombasa Decrease -0.8%
Kirinyaga Decrease -8.2%
Murang'a Decrease -1.9%
Nyamira Increase 3.4%
Kisumu Increase 5.4%
Busia Increase 0.4%
Tororo Decrease -1.8%
West Pokot Increase 0.2%
Meru Decrease -6.8%
Makueni Decrease -0.3%
Nandi Decrease -4.9%
Amuria Decrease -8.7%
Homa Bay Increase 3.9%
Bay Increase 16.6%
Soroti Decrease -4.3%
Garissa Decrease -2.0%
Marsabit Decrease -0.2%
Trans Nzoia Increase 2.9%
Bas-Uele Decrease -3.6%
Uasin Gishu Increase 1.0%
Machakos Decrease -1.0%
Kabarole Decrease -5.9%
Nebbi Decrease -0.2%
Nakapiripirit Increase 13.5%
Kisii Decrease -0.4%
Iburengerazuba Decrease -8.8%
Kampala Decrease -12.6%
Nugaal Increase 46.7%
Masindi Decrease -30.2%
Umujyi wa Kigali Decrease -5.2%
Turkana Increase 3.2%
Isiolo Increase 5.0%
Kyegegwa Increase 4.1%
Majyaruguru Decrease -11.3%
Arua Increase 3.5%
Kilifi Increase 1.0%
Migori Decrease -2.0%
Kamwenge Increase 14.0%
Tana River Decrease -3.9%
Adjumani Increase 2.3%
Elgeyo-Marakwet Increase 6.3%
Taita Taveta Increase 9.4%
Kyankwanzi Increase 8.9%
Lira District Increase 2.9%
Zombo Decrease -4.2%
Murang`a Increase 5.4%
Iburasirasuba Decrease -10.0%
Narok Decrease -3.1%
Nakuru Decrease -2.3%
Wakiso Increase 6.6%
Kitui Increase 0.2%
Gedo Increase 17.4%
Mbale Increase 4.3%
Gulu Decrease -6.3%
Nyandarua Increase 15.0%
Lira Decrease -12.4%
Hiiraan Increase 2.2%
Moyo Increase 6.3%
Mukono Decrease -3.4%
Kwale Decrease -2.6%
Vihiga Increase 11.8%
Abim Decrease -3.5%
Agago Decrease -3.0%
Samburu Increase 2.8%
Singida Increase 0.4%
Laikipia Increase 5.6%
Kericho Increase 7.2%

Trade Corridors Summary (2025Q1)

The trade corridors for agricultural products in Kenya encompass several key routes connecting major agricultural regions to crucial transportation hubs and markets. These routes include connections such as Eldoret to Nakuru and Nairobi, Nakuru to Naivasha and Nairobi, as well as routes originating from Mombasa to Nairobi and further inland to regions like Machakos and Makueni. Additionally, corridors like Gulu to Lira to Soroti in the northern part of the country facilitate trade from border areas. These corridors serve as vital arteries for the transportation of agricultural goods, facilitating domestic distribution and international trade, thereby contributing significantly to Kenya’s agricultural economy.

Trade Corridors (2024 Q1)

Eldoret⟶Nakuru⟶Nairobi
(Relative Efficiency Score: 0.24)
Nakuru⟶Naivasha⟶Nairobi
(Relative Efficiency Score: 0.85)
Kitale⟶Eldoret⟶Nakuru
(Relative Efficiency Score: 0.39)
Mombasa⟶Nairobi
(Relative Efficiency Score: 0.16)
Malaba⟶Eldoret⟶Nakuru⟶Nairobi
(Relative Efficiency Score: 0.43)
Busia⟶Kakamega⟶Eldoret⟶Nakuru⟶Nairobi
(Relative Efficiency Score: 0.24)
Isiolo⟶Nanyuki⟶Nairobi
(Relative Efficiency Score: 0.12)

Regional Centrality (2024Q4)

Iburengerazuba 0.9784
Majyaruguru 0.8652
Soroti 0.7531
Mubende 0.6897
Lira District 0.6342
Kapchorwa 0.5231
Iburasirasuba 0.4321
Amajvepfo 0.3678
Dar es Salaam 0.2546
Nairobi 0.1432
Kitui 0.0567

Market Volatility and Dependency (2025Q1)

Market Volatility Score Dependency Score Vulnerability Index
Iburengerazuba 0.9784 0.9784 0.9784
Majyaruguru 0.8652 0.8652 0.8652
Soroti 0.7531 0.7531 0.7531
Mubende 0.6897 0.6897 0.6897
Lira District 0.6342 0.6342 0.6342
Kapchorwa 0.5231 0.5231 0.5231
Iburasirasuba 0.4321 0.4321 0.4321
Amajvepfo 0.3678 0.3678 0.3678
Dar es Salaam 0.2546 0.2546 0.2546
Nairobi 0.1432 0.1432 0.1432
Kitui 0.0567 0.0567 0.0567

Volatility ranking/dependencies

Market Access and Efficiency (2025Q1)

Market Access Score Efficiency Score Integration Index
Iburengerazuba 0.9784 0.9784 0.9784
Majyaruguru 0.8652 0.8652 0.8652
Soroti 0.7531 0.7531 0.7531
Mubende 0.6897 0.6897 0.6897
Lira District 0.6342 0.6342 0.6342
Kapchorwa 0.5231 0.5231 0.5231
Iburasirasuba 0.4321 0.4321 0.4321
Amajvepfo 0.3678 0.3678 0.3678
Dar es Salaam 0.2546 0.2546 0.2546
Nairobi 0.1432 0.1432 0.1432
Kitui 0.0567 0.0567 0.0567